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HOLD YOUR HORSES: BUCHANAN ISN’T ABOUT TO WIN NOMINATION

SHARE HOLD YOUR HORSES: BUCHANAN ISN’T ABOUT TO WIN NOMINATION

WHOA, NELLIE! Patrick Buchanan, who received a lower percentage of the New Hampshire Republican primary vote this year than he did in 1992 against President Bush - 26 percent last week, compared to 37 percent four years ago - is not about to steamroll the GOP into nomination for president.

He's got a ton of trouble ahead of him - states with large ethnic and racial votes, votes he ain't gonna get.With Texas, Florida, California and New York all coming up in March, Buchanan will be facing a greater cross-section of America than he saw in New Hampshire.

That state is not typical of the America of the late 20th century.

It is 98.2 percent white. Blacks make up but 0.6 per cent of its population; so do Hispanics.

When Buchanan gets to Texas, he can talk about his anti-immigration policy to a population consisting of 21 percent Hispanics. In Florida, he'll meet a heavily Republican Hispanic population of 8.8 percent. In California, Hispanics make up 19.2 percent of the population, and in New York, they're 9.5 percent.

After they hear him, the Republicans among them are going to rush out to vote for someone else. And if he's still around in November, which I very much doubt, he'll be the best thing that ever happened to Bill Clinton.

Pat Buchanan is not the champion of minorities. Accurate or perceived, his reputation as a bigot is sealed in granite. The large black population of those four biggest states will not turn out for Pat Buchanan.

Either Bob Dole or Lamar Alexander, whoever survives the next few weeks, will receive those minority votes, and Buchanan will get to make a rip-roaring speech at the GOP convention, but that's about it.

Buchanan also has no chance of picking up Jewish support in heavily Jewish Florida, New York and California. His past will haunt him, a past that is easy to identify, as he has left indelible fingerprints with his columns and TV commentaries.

Among them are his defense of accused Nazi war criminals facing deportation from the United States and his crack in 1990 that Washington, D.C., was "Israeli-occupied territory." He opposed the Persian Gulf War and said it happened because the Israelis wanted it.

Buchanan can spout all his populist phrases about jobs for Americans, but he's not going to cut it with many segments of our life. That includes homosexuals, who he declared last week would not find roles in his administration if they were open about it.

When you begin to add up all the minorities, all types of minorities, in this country, they get close to being a majority. Add to that the other Americans who haven't raced to the Far Right, and Buchanan is unelectable in November and odds-on to take a whipping in the upcoming GOP primaries in larger states.