When will we return to normal? One expert suggests summer 2021 might be a good place to start.
Returning to normal
- “This summer is going to seem so much closer to normal than we’ve had in a very long time,” he told CNN. “The key statistic to think about is ... what percentage of the adult population has received at least one vaccination.”
Currently, 58% of those eligible for the COVID-19 vaccine have received at least one dose, with 43% being fully vaccinated against COVID-19, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. This is specifically for people who are 18 years old and older. Right now, COVID-19 vaccines are approved for those 16 years and up.
When is the turning point?
Reiner said the country will reach a turning point in May when 60% of people get their first dose of the COVID-19 vaccine.
- “I expect during the month of May we will see daily cases drop dramatically and deaths finally drop to quite low numbers,” Reiner told CNN.
- “Literally within a few weeks, we’re going to start to see a turning around of the dynamics,” Fauci said, according to CNBC.
- “Not down to no infections,” he said, according to CNBC. “If you’re waiting for classic measles-like herd immunity, that’s going to be a while before we get there. But that doesn’t mean we’re not going to have a significant diminution in the number of infections per day and a significant diminution in all of the parameters, namely hospitalizations and deaths.”