Facebook Twitter

COVID-19 could surge again this fall. Here’s what to expect

Will there be more COVID-19 cases this fall?

SHARE COVID-19 could surge again this fall. Here’s what to expect
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo speaks about COVID-19 restrictions in New York.

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo speaks about the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions during a news conference at One World Trade in New York, Tuesday, June 15, 2021.

Seth Wenig, Associated Press

Dr. Scott Gottlieb, a former Food and Drug Administration chief, recently said on CBS’s “Face the Nation” that current models show the novel coronavirus could surge again — especially if the U.S. population only has 75% of people vaccinated.

What will COVID-19 look like this fall?

Gottlieb said a current estimate model shows COVID-19 infections rising to be about 20% of winter 2020’s number of infections. He said that was an “aggressive estimate” and he doesn’t expect it “be quite that dire.”

Gottlieb said there should be a second push for vaccinations closer to the fall when people are getting ready to return to school or work, The Washington Post reports. People might be open to getting shots in the fall, too, he said.

How can the U.S. avoid a fall COVID-19 surge?

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the White House chief infectious disease expert, said the U.S. could avoid such a surge if more people get vaccinated, as I wrote for the Deseret News.

  • “If we get to the president’s goal — which I believe we will attain — of 70% of people getting at least one dose, adults that is, by July 4, there will be enough protection in the community that I really don’t foresee there being the risk of a surge,” Fauci told The Washington Post.