BYU may have gotten its basketball season back on track.

An explosive second half pushed the Cougars past Colorado Tuesday night for the team’s first true road win of the campaign. BYU’s post-halftime showing should inspire more confidence for Kevin Young’s squad going forward, and the advanced metrics definitely agree.

ESPN Analytics and KenPom each use a number of formulas to project specific outcomes for every college basketball game. I looked into the algorithm’s projections for each remaining BYU contest this season to determine how the Cougars’ final record might shake out.

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Each game includes the present percentage chance ESPN Analytics and KenPom give BYU to win that day, with the cumulative record being tallied together based on what the algorithm decided.

Injuries, newer game results and a number of other factors will certainly cause these percentages to fluctuate over the coming weeks, but for now, we’ll stick to what they say today.

While you should never fully put your faith into such data, any Cougars fans who consider themselves to be analytics believers should be pleased with the final projections given how dire the season’s circumstances appeared not too long ago.

ESPN Analytics’ projections

BYU’s current record: 12-6 (3-4 in Big 12 play)

Remaining schedule

  • vs. Cincinnati — 62.4% chance to win
  • vs. Baylor — 51.8%
  • @ UCF — 61.9%
  • vs. Arizona — 43.7%
  • @ Cincinnati — 38.2%
  • @ West Virginia — 46.4%
  • vs. Kansas State — 86.0%
  • vs. Kansas — 42.2%
  • @ Arizona — 21.2%
  • @ Arizona State — 56.1%
  • vs. West Virginia — 71.6%
  • @ Iowa State — 17.8%
  • vs. Utah — 75.2%
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ESPN Analytics-based projected final record: 19-12 (10-10 in Big 12 play)

KenPom’s projections

BYU’s current record: 12-6 (3-4 in Big 12 play)

Remaining schedule

  • vs. Cincinnati — 67% chance to win.
  • vs. Baylor — 57%
  • @ UCF — 53%
  • vs. Arizona — 49%
  • @ Cincinnati — 40%
  • @ West Virginia — 37%
  • vs. Kansas State — 84%
  • vs. Kansas — 41%
  • @ Arizona — 24%
  • @ Arizona State — 47%
  • Vs. West Virginia — 67%
  • @ Iowa State — 12%
  • vs. Utah — 78%

KenPom-based projected final record: 18-13 (9-11 in Big 12 play)

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