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New COVID-19 prediction model suggests 14,000 people could be saved from wearing masks

Wearing masks could save at least 14,000 lives by the end of summer, a new model predicts

SHARE New COVID-19 prediction model suggests 14,000 people could be saved from wearing masks
Wearing masks could save at least 14,000 lives by the end of summer, a new model predicts.

Jack Carrasco, an employee at Stockist, is pictured in the Salt Lake City store on Sunday, April 11, 2021. Stockist owner Helen Wade chose to close the store for the remainder of the day after a person threatened to come back with a gun when asked to leave for not wearing a mask.

Scott G Winterton, Deseret News

A new projection model from the University of Washington Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluations has predicted what’s to come in the coronavirus pandemic.

Per CNN, the model predicts that 618,523 people will die from the novel coronavirus by Aug. 1.

  • However, if 95% of Americans wore masks when they’re around other people, the number would drop down to 604,413 deaths.
  • That suggests wearing masks would save close to 14,000 lives.

How fully-vaccinated impact COVID-19 numbers

The projection said the number of deaths would jump up to 697,573 if “fully vaccinated people return to pre-pandemic levels of mobility,” according to CNN.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, one of the country’s top infectious disease experts, told Business Insider that vaccines aren’t perfect, and fully vaccinated people should still wear masks and follow public health guidelines.

  • “I don’t think I would — even if I’m vaccinated — go into an indoor, crowded place where people aren’t wearing masks,” Fauci told Business Insider.

Dr. Todd Vento, an Intermountain Healthcare infectious diseases doctor, told the Deseret News in March that vaccinations don’t matter. We’re still in a pandemic and people should act as such.

  • “You should continue to say, ‘If I’m out in public, I should probably be careful,’” he said.
  • “I know we’ve changed a lot, like we’ve accepted a lot more tolerance because folks want to get back to work and want to have normal. The reality that is in front of us is the reality we have to address, not the reality we want it to be. We have to work toward that reality,” he said.