Coronavirus cases continue to rise throughout the country. But we might be further along in the recent spike than we think, signaling that the end of the pandemic might be in sight.
Are the COVID-19 numbers right?
- “We’re not doing a lot of testing. More of the testing that we are doing is antigen tests that are being done at home and not getting reported,” Gottlieb said. “So, I think we’re much further into this epidemic than we’re picking up and hopefully further through this epidemic.”
What are the new projections for COVID-19 cases?
- The data, which comes from the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, suggested that the delta variant will create a huge rise in COVID-19 cases through the summer and fall with a peak in October, NPR reports. In fact, the model suggested that there will be triple the amount of deaths that we’re seeing right now, according to NPR.
Of course, the model’s huge range of 90,000 to 800,000 cases is so big because we don’t have clear data, Gottlieb said.
- “I believe that there is more virus than we’re picking up right now,” Gottlieb said. “There’s probably a lot of people with mild to subclinical infection since more of the infection is happening in a younger population that’s less likely to become very symptomatic.”
U.S. vs. U.K. COVID-19 data
Gottlieb said the U.S. tends to be three to four weeks behind the United Kingdom when it comes to COVID-19 spread. So, using that model, the U.S. might be “hopefully we’re going to turn a corner” in the next week or so, he said.
- “If you look at the U.K., they do in the last seven days appear to be turning a corner. You’re starting to see a downward trajectory on the cases. Now, it’s unclear whether that’s going to be sustained,” Gottlieb added.