White evangelical Protestants are more likely than the average American to believe the situation at the U.S.-Mexico border is a crisis and that the ongoing migrant surge will lead to more crime, according to a new analysis from Pew Research Center.

  • Seventy percent of white evangelicals view the situation as a crisis, compared to 45% of all U.S. adults, a 25 percentage point gap.
  • There’s also a 25-point gap between the share of white evangelicals who believe the large number of migrants seeking to enter the U.S. from Mexico will increase crime (82%) and the share of all Americans who say the same (57%).

Pew’s analysis comes days after President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump made separate visits to the southern border amid what some are calling the “immigration election.”

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Even when compared to other white Christians, white evangelicals stand out, Pew found.

  • Eighty-two percent of members of the faith group expect a migrant surge to correspond with a crime surge, compared to 70% of white Catholics and 69% of white non-evangelical Protestants.

There’s an even bigger gap between white evangelicals and religiously unaffiliated Americans.

  • Just 41% believe the large number of migrants at the U.S.-Mexico border will lead to an increase in crime and fewer (27%) say these migrants are causing a crisis for the U.S.

One factor that likely helps explain these results is political affiliation, according to Pew.

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White evangelicals, as well as white Catholics and white non-evangelical Protestants, are more likely than religiously unaffiliated Americans to support Republican candidates who, in turn, are more likely than Democratic candidates to use terms like “crisis” and raise crime-related concerns when discussing immigration policy.

In general, “far more Republicans than Democrats view the situation as a crisis and say the migrant surge leads to increased crime,” Pew reported.

A Pew report from last month showed that most Democrats think of the situation at the U.S.-Mexico border as a “problem” rather than a “crisis.”

But Republicans (89%) and Democrats (73%) generally agree that the U.S. government has done a bad job dealing with the large number of migrants attempting to enter the U.S. from Mexico, Pew found.

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