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The U.K. COVID-19 variant is doubling in the U.S. every 10 days

A new study suggests cases of the new U.K. COVID-19 variant are doubling every 10 days

A woman wearing a mask against coronavirus walks past a neon sign display at the Wellcome Institute in London, Tuesday, Feb. 2, 2021. A new study suggests cases of the new UK COVID-19 variant are doubling every 10 days.
A woman wearing a mask against coronavirus walks past a neon sign display at the Wellcome Institute in London, Tuesday, Feb. 2, 2021. A new study suggests cases of the new U.K. COVID-19 variant are doubling every 10 days.
Alastair Grant, Associated Press

Cases of the new coronavirus strain originally discovered in the United Kingdom appear to be doubling every 10 days in the United States, according to a new study.

What’s happening?

The study — which uses modeling from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention — said cases related to the new strain were low at first in the U.S. But soon, it will become the dominant strain in the country.

  • The CDC, the National Institutes of Health and the Canadian Institutes of Health Research all funded the research.

The study — published on medRxiv — has not been peer-reviewed yet.

  • According to CNBC, the study found that the new variant is spreading at a different pace in different states. For example, cases double every 12.2 days in California, but it takes 9.1 days in Florida.
  • In the U.S., cases are doubling every 9.8 days on average, per CNBC.

Will it be the dominant strain?

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicted in the middle of January that the new coronavirus variant from the U.K. will become the dominant U.S. strain within two months, as I wrote about for the Deseret News.

  • The new strain will account for the majority of cases in the U.S. by March, the CDC said.
  • To put this in perspective, the U.K. variant represented 3.6% of coronavirus cases at the end of January, according to CNBC.

Moderna and Pfizer both said their respective COVID-19 vaccines will be effective against the COVID-19 variants first discovered in United Kingdom and South Africa, according to Axios,