What are the chances you’ll get COVID-19 if you’re fully vaccinated? Well, we might have an answer.
What are the chances you’ll get COVID-19 if you’re fully vaccinated?
The chances of fully vaccinated people getting infected by the novel coronavirus are about 1 in 5,000, according to The New York Times.
- The data comes after new data showed how few times the average vaccinated American contracted COVID-19.
In most cases, about one in 5,000 fully vaccinated people contract COVID-19 per day. That number might be even lower for those who take precautions or live in a community where vaccination rates are high, The New York Times reports.
- That number is based on data from Utah and Virginia, as well as King County in Washington state, which includes Seattle.
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But chances might be lower in places where there are fewer cases, like the Northeast, Chicago and Los Angeles. In those cities, chances might be less than 1 in 10,000.
- “Here’s one way to think about a one-in-10,000 daily chance: It would take more than three months for the combined risk to reach just 1%,” according to The New York Times.
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And the report suggests 1 in every 1 million vaccinated people get hospitalized because of COVID-19.
Dr. Ashish Jha, of Brown University, responded to the report on Twitter, saying he thinks the chances are, in fact, lower in certain areas.
- “I think it's closer to 1 in 10,000,” he said on Twitter. “And if you live in a lower infection state like MA or RI, its probably closer to 1 in 20,000.”
These numbers come as COVID-19 daily cases exceeded 40 million total cases, with 4 million coming within the last week, according to CNN. The recent surge has happened because of the delta variant, which has been spreading to mostly unvaccinated people.